BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 4A Class Rank: 4 Conference: (10-0) Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength =   91.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 09/02/2005 Away    W *  71.13  37    0   4A   44 ( 0- 9) Burlington            -19.23 *   56.23                      
  2 09/10/2005 Home    W *  94.40  38    0   4A   29 ( 3- 6) Muscatine               4.04 *   33.96                      
  3 09/16/2005 Away    W * 103.28  32    0   4A   14 ( 6- 4) Clinton                12.92     19.08                      
  4 09/24/2005 Home    W *  63.50  20   17   4A   25 ( 3- 6) Davenport Central     -26.86     29.86                      
  5 09/30/2005 Away    W *  91.88  21   17   4A    6 ( 8- 2) Bettendorf              1.52      2.48                      
  6 10/06/2005 Home    W * 107.08  45    6   4A   16 ( 7- 3) Eldridge North Scott   16.72     22.28                      
  7 10/14/2005 Away    W *  89.43  28    3   4A   22 ( 4- 5) Davenport West         -0.93     25.93                      
  8 10/20/2005 Home    W *  92.55  63    0   4A   43 ( 1- 8) Davenport North         2.19 *   60.81                      
  9 10/28/2005 Away    W * 100.28  37    0   4A   23 ( 4- 5) Pleasant Valley         9.92     27.08                      
 10 11/02/2005 Home    W *  85.08  24    7   4A   16 ( 7- 3) Eldridge North Scott   -5.28     22.28                      
 11 11/07/2005 Neutral W   102.41  23    6   4A    5 (10- 1) Iowa City High         12.06      4.94                      
 12 11/11/2005 Neutral L    83.29  21   31   4A    1 (11- 2) Cedar Falls            -7.07     -2.93                      
      Averages              90.36  32.4  7.2

Best game:  107.08 = 39 point win over Eldridge North Scott
Worst game:  63.50 = 3 point win over Davenport Central
Team stdev:  13.09